Caps on international students could cripple Victoria’s economic future: Tim Pallas

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Minister Tim Pallas, advocating for Victoria’s economic future, plants a tree at VU Werribee campus—symbolising growth and resilience in the face of proposed student caps that could stunt our state's prosperity. Photo from Facebook
Minister Tim Pallas, advocating for Victoria’s economic future, plants a tree at VU Werribee campus—symbolising growth and resilience in the face of proposed student caps that could stunt our state's prosperity. Photo from Facebook

Victoria’s thriving economy and global reputation are under threat due to the Commonwealth Government’s proposed cap on international student enrolments. Minister for Economic Growth Tim Pallas has urged the government to reconsider these reforms, warning of potential damage to the state’s economic health and job market.

Victoria, often hailed as the “education state,” holds a commanding 30 per cent of Australia’s international student market share. In 2023 alone, international students contributed a staggering $14.8 billion to the state’s economy, directly supporting approximately 63,000 local jobs. The state’s position as a premier destination for international students is not just a matter of pride but a critical economic pillar.

The Allan Labor Government remains committed to preserving Victoria’s global appeal as an open and welcoming destination for international students. This commitment is reflected in the state’s robust support systems, particularly through Study Melbourne, which plays a pivotal role in fostering international education. Beyond their studies, international students enrich the state’s economy through entrepreneurial ventures, start-ups, and vital contributions to research.

Melbourne’s stature as Australia’s top student city has been recognised yet again by global higher education ranking specialist Quacquarelli Symonds (QS). Additionally, the city’s recent ascent to third place in the Economist Intelligence Unit’s Global Liveability Index, where it was also named Australia’s most liveable city, further underscores its appeal.

However, this hard-earned reputation is now at risk. Independent analysis by SPP Consulting predicts that by 2027, the proposed caps could result in the loss of 12,000 jobs and a $5.9 billion hit to Victoria’s economy. Such a blow would severely hinder the state’s ability to address local skills shortages, a concern echoed by many within the education sector.

Victoria’s universities and communities have long been celebrated for offering high-quality education in a safe and inclusive environment. The proposed caps could undermine this reputation, deterring future students and jeopardising Victoria’s status as a top global education destination.

The diversity that international students bring to Victoria is one of the state’s greatest assets. They not only contribute to the economy but also to the vibrant multicultural tapestry that defines Victoria. The uncertainty sparked by these proposed changes threatens to weaken Victoria’s standing on the global stage.

Victoria’s international education sector is still recovering from the devastating effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Introducing such drastic changes now could have long-lasting repercussions, potentially stalling the sector’s full recovery and compromising its future sustainability.

The Victorian Government has made its position clear, with a detailed submission available on the Study Melbourne website, urging the Commonwealth Government to reconsider its approach. Minister Pallas has been vocal in his opposition, stating, “A cap on international students is a cap on economic growth. These caps will hurt our state’s economy, lead to skills shortages, and cost us thousands of jobs.”

He further called on the Commonwealth Government to reassess the situation and engage in thorough consultation with the state and the education sector before implementing changes that could have far-reaching negative impacts.

The stakes are high, and the future of Victoria’s economy and global reputation hangs in the balance as the debate over these proposed caps continues.


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