The latest Newspoll figures point to a shifting mood among Australian voters, with Labor holding a two-party-preferred lead of 58 per cent to the Coalition’s 42 per cent. That margin reflects a 2 per cent swing to Labor, while the Liberal–National Coalition fell by the same amount.
At the primary vote level, Labor sits at 36 per cent nationally, unchanged since the last poll. The Coalition has slipped to 27 per cent, down three points, while the Greens have nudged up to 13 per cent. One Nation recorded 10 per cent support, up one point, and “Others” rose to 14 per cent.
One Nation leader Pauline Hanson claimed momentum is firmly with her party. “One Nation is rising fast! The latest Resolve poll confirms it: we’ve overtaken the Greens and surged to 12 per cent. Australians are turning away from the lies and weak leadership of the major parties. They’re choosing One Nation because we say what others won’t, and we’ll do what others never will,” she said. Hanson added, “Aussies know what we stand for, and that is why so many are getting behind us. It is time: Scrap net zero. Bring back cheap, reliable energy. End mass immigration. Put Australians first. Defeat left-wing extremism. Restore pride in our country. If you’ve ever thought, ‘Enough is enough’, you’re not alone, and now is the time to act.”
Commentators noted the unusual pattern of One Nation polling strongly in New South Wales, historically less fertile ground for the party than Queensland. Tarric Brooker, a journalist following the trend, remarked: “Early days, but it looks like One Nation is experiencing a surge in popularity. In a wild turn of events, One Nation is polling significantly stronger in NSW than in QLD. The high migration issue biting perhaps.”
Figures from Resolve and Newspoll charts show that in NSW, One Nation reached 16 per cent in mid-September, compared with 12 per cent in Queensland. Labor remains ahead in both states, on 34 per cent in NSW and 37 per cent in Queensland, while the Coalition trails on 28 per cent and 27 per cent respectively.
The broader context points to an unsettled electorate. A 2023 Australian National University study linked rising support for minor parties to protest movements, including anti-immigration rallies, suggesting the trend may be part of a deeper re-alignment. With “Others” polling at 14 per cent nationwide, the field is more fragmented than at the last election, and preference flows could again play a decisive role.
Meanwhile, criticism of the Coalition leadership continues to bite. Conservative commentator Rita Panahi took aim at Opposition Deputy Leader Sussan Ley, saying: “She needs to go. She’s a disaster as I said the day the diabolically dumb Libs elected her leader.”
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