The Werribee electorate is bracing for a by-election on 8 February, triggered by the resignation of long-standing Labor MP and Treasurer Tim Pallas. A seat long held by Labor, Werribee now finds itself at a political crossroads, with shifting voter sentiment raising the stakes for both major parties.
Tim Pallas secured 45.4% of the primary vote in the 2022 state election, solidifying Labor’s dominance. Yet, growing concerns over cost-of-living pressures and infrastructure neglect in Melbourne’s western suburbs suggest that the tide could be turning. Former Labor strategist Kos Samaras predicts a swing of up to 10% against Labor, enough to place its grip on Werribee in jeopardy.
Labor’s candidate, John Lister, a high school teacher and Country Fire Authority volunteer, has deep roots in the community. His campaign leans heavily on addressing local grievances and continuing the legacy of his predecessor. The Liberal Party, which has not yet announced its candidate, is focusing on issues such as health, transport, education, and safety. Newly elected Opposition Leader Brad Battin has been vocal in accusing Labor of neglecting Werribee and emphasising the need for a fresh approach.
For Premier Jacinta Allan, this by-election represents more than a local contest—it’s a litmus test for her leadership. A noticeable swing against Labor in Werribee would signal broader challenges for the government and could prompt a recalibration of its priorities for Melbourne’s west.
Adding further interest to 8 February, the Prahran electorate will also vote in a by-election following the resignation of Greens MP Sam Hibbins amid misconduct allegations. However, Labor has chosen not to contest Prahran, directing its efforts towards retaining Werribee.
The outcome in Werribee will not only determine the area’s representation but may also hint at emerging political shifts across Victoria. For voters, the decision reflects the tension between loyalty to tradition and a call for change, with the cost-of-living crisis and local infrastructure failures taking centre stage.
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